16-07-2009 18:47I’m a great believer in looking ahead at new trends in security, as well as taking a step back and assessing what’s happening around us. It’s important to do this because information security is a subject that’s in constant flux, driven by an ever-changing threat and technology landscape. We all need to keep an eye on emerging problems and check that legacy solutions are still fit for purpose.
This year, we can see the convergence of several trends that are stretching our capability and thinking in new directions. Security is always a ‘catch-up’ function as the development of solutions lags behind the problem space. Unfortunately the lack of resources and proactive developments means that we’re falling further behind, and we might not get the resources needed to get back on top. Ruthless prioritisation will be needed to survive the emerging threat landscape. The question is what should we do within our limited capabilities?
The most visible tend is the impact of the recession, which has caused a good deal of inertia with budgets slashed and projects canned, amid a wave of restructuring that’s taken the wind out of the sails of anyone with a spark of initiative. Big programmes are out of fashion. Consolidation is the best strategy, at least for the moment.
And consolidation takes a number of forms. We can also expect more mergers of functions, such as the trend to join up information and physical security, though the relationship is often uncomfortable. Physical security is a part of information security. Yet information security is also a part of physical security. Which is broader? The answer is both and neither. Business priorities are what count. And this time it’s information security that’s coming out on top. It’s a different perspective from the post 9/11 climate when physical security threats suddenly hit the management agenda.
We also have the vendor community working hard to transform the marketing pitch around their products to fall in line with the latest fashions. Last year everything became a ‘data leakage prevention’ product. This year it’s all about ‘cloud computing’. This is an important new area to get right, but we’re still a long way from understanding the risks and filling in the solution space. Securing the cloud will run and run, however, and get bigger as it dawns on enterprises that they’re losing control of their data, in an increasingly risky world in which everyone’s out to get their hands on it. But we can’t simply sit back and wait for someone else to solve the problems. Organisations will face different sets of problems. We all need to start now on developing a security strategy for cloud computing.
There are also problems that we’ve failed to fix properly in the past such as identity management and security awareness. They remain firmly in the front of our minds but generally fall into the ‘too difficult to fix’ category. But these problems will increase in importance over the next few years. In particular the need to do more to address the human factor is becoming clearer to executive boards and business managers. We can no longer keep putting it off. The problem is that few enterprises have a decent budget and a clear idea of precisely what’s needed. You don’t need to spend a fortune, however, to get results. A lot can be done with smart, low cost interventions.
Data breaches seem to be having less impact these days because they’re becoming all too familiar, and we now have well-rehearsed excuses for why they happen. I’ve been forecasting for many years that the next big incidents will be attacks on data integrity. It's a widespread exposure but it’s been sitting below our radar for many years. Check out my Infosecurity podcast interview for more on this.
Putting these trends together, it’s clear that ‘more of the same’ won’t do for the future. We need a new strategy, new priorities, new defences and far greater leverage for tackling enterprise-wide (or even community-wide) problems. We need a new direction for security. And the current period of consolidation is the best time to create the necessary road map.